Friday, October 8, 2010

Merchant Hedge Fund Founders Coleman, King Buy Singapore Rubber Trader

Michael Coleman, who co-manages the $1.3 billion Merchant Commodity Fund, and his partner Doug King have bought a stake in a Singapore-based rubber trader, which had sales of about $1 billion last year.

The two former Cargill Inc. traders control a company called Kincol Pte Ltd., which purchased 60 percent of RCMA Commodities Asia Pte Ltd., Coleman, 49, and King, 43, said in separate interviews yesterday. Chris Pardey, also a former Cargill trader, is a shareholder in Kincol and becomes chief executive officer of RCMA, they said.

The Merchant Commodity Fund, which invests in agriculture and energy, returned 12.7 percent in September and is heading for its seventh straight annual gain since starting in 2004, according to three people with direct knowledge of the matter. Rubber, used in tires, jumped 52 percent in the past year on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange as demand led by China, the top consumer, outpaced supply from Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia.

“With China’s growth in vehicles and infrastructure requirements, rubber will be a critical commodity,” Zug, Switzerland-based King said. “We see it as strategic.”

The purchase was a personal one, and not related to the fund, Coleman and King said, declining to say how much they paid.

The acquisition gives the two fund managers access to supply, demand and logistics in the global rubber trade as RCMA operates in China and the U.S. The firm also has an office in the Netherlands and provides warehousing and transport services, according to its website.

Trading Roots

Kincol has an agreement to buy the balance of RCMA “over the course of the next few years,” Coleman said. The stake was bought from Oei Hong Bie, whom Coleman has known for 26 years since he first came to Singapore, he said. Oei continues to hold “a significant stake” in the trading firm, its website said.

Pardey left Barclays Capital earlier this year where he was global head of agricultural products, coal and freight. RCMA has more than 70 staff, Coleman said.

“Our ambition is to build a strong commodity trading/ supply-chain management company, not limited to agriculture,” said Coleman, who was head of global rubber trading at Cargill. “Our roots are in physical commodity trading,” he said. King was Cargill’s head of global petroleum trading and ran U.K. grain trading.

The Merchant Commodity Fund managed $1.3 billion at the end of September, King said. The fund’s gain last month took this year’s return after deduction of fees to 7.5 percent, according to the three people with knowledge of the numbers.

Rubber futures in Tokyo dropped 0.7 percent to 321.9 yen a kilogram ($3,912 a metric ton) as of 12:20 p.m. local time.
(bloomberg.com)

Indian tyre makers to import over 30,000 T rubber Oct-Dec

ndian tyre makers will import over 30,000 tonnes natural rubber in Oct-Dec and are also looking for similar quantities for Jan-March delivery, as rising demand outweighs higher international prices, industry players said.

That would put total imports for this fiscal year close to the 170,679 tonnes of 2009/10, when India's needs nearly doubled as domestic production was hit by a severe drought.

"Tyre makers have already signed deals for 30,000 tonnes of rubber imports because of the difference between domestic and international prices. In Thailand rubber was cheaper when they contracted," a dealer based in Kochi, in the southern state of Kerala, said.

In August, Indian rubber makers were charging a premium of as much as 35 rupees ($0.79) per kilogramme (kg) over the Bangkok market, prompting Indian tyre companies to buy rubber from overseas markets.

"Despite duty, overseas rubber was cheaper. Now the gap between domestic and international markets has come down, but tyre makers are likely to import to cater to their rising demand," the dealer said.

The world's fourth-biggest natural rubber producer currently charges 20 percent duty on the imports. India's imports between April-September stood at 107,190 tonnes, down 12 percent compared to 122,095 tonnes a year ago.

On Thursday, the Indian price was over 8 rupees higher per kg than Bangkok market, data with the state-run Rubber Board showed.

"Tyre companies will wait for the government to cut import tax on rubber and afterwards again they will start placing orders," said another dealer.

India may cut the tax on rubber imports to 20.46 rupees per kg from the current 20 percent levy, a government policy adviser said last month.

India's natural rubber production in 2010/11 is likely to fall short of the estimated 893,000 tonnes due to adverse weather conditions, Sajen Peter, chairman of the Rubber Board, said on Wednesday.

The Rubber Board estimates consumption in the country will rise by 5 percent to 978,000 tonnes in 2010/11.

"(Indian) tyre companies are inquiring for imports in first quarter of 2011. They want to contract before prices rise further," said a leading rubber exporter based in Thailand, the world's biggest exporter of natural rubber.

The global rubber market could see two years of tighter supplies and rising prices as output sputters while producers replace ageing trees and demand drives higher in a worldwide recovery, conference delegates said.

Tokyo rubber futures rose further on Thursday, hitting a five-month high on the back of tight supply in producing countries, but the gains were limited by the strength of the Japanese yen, dealers said.

(1$=44.2)
(moneycontrol.com)

Spot rubber rules steady

 On Thursday (07 October 2010), the spot rubber prices were almost steady. A leading manufacture bought the grade even at Rs 174 per kg in early trades but the declines in domestic futures kept the sentiments under pressure during closing hours. Sheet rubber ended unchanged at Rs 174 per kg in the main marketing centres.

The October futures for RSS 4 declined to Rs 177.20 (178.96), November to Rs 178.75 (180.85), December to Rs 181.70 (183.70) and January to Rs 185 (187) per kg on the National Multi Commodity Exchange.

Spot rates were (Rs/kg): RSS-4: 174 (174); RSS-5: 168 (168); ungraded: 164.50 (164.50); ISNR 20: 170 (169) and latex 60 per cent: 116 (116).
(indiainfoline.com)

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Rubber Advances on Tight Supply From Thailand; Stronger Yen Limits Gains

Rubber advanced for a third day as wet weather disrupted tapping in Thailand, limiting supply from the world’s largest producer and exporter.

The March-delivery contract climbed as much as 0.6 percent to 323.5 yen per kilogram ($3,901 a metric ton) before trading at 322.5 yen on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange at 11:54 a.m. The price rose to 324.1 yen yesterday, the highest level for the most-active contract since April 26.

Shippers in Thailand have raised offers for RSS-3 grade rubber for November shipment to around $3.70 a kilogram, from $3.60 at the end of last week, said Kazuhiko Saito, an analyst at commodity broker Fujitomi Co. in Tokyo.

“Shipments from Thailand slowed as heavy rain constrained latex output in the nation’s main producing areas,” Saito said today by phone.

Gains in futures were limited after Japan’s currency climbed to a 15-year high against the dollar, weakening the appeal of yen-denominated contracts, he said.

The dollar was at 82.94 yen at 11:42 a.m. in Tokyo after sinking to 82.77 yesterday, the weakest level since May 1995 and lower than the rate on Sept. 15, when Japan intervened in the currency market for the first time since 2004.

The dollar came under pressure amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will expand credit-easing steps to sustain the U.S. recovery. The yen also advanced on prospects that Japan will avoid currency-market intervention before this week’s meeting of finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of Seven industrialized nations.

Low Risk Appetite

“Investors’ risk appetite isn’t strong before the release of U.S. jobs data, as they are bracing for weak numbers,” Saito at Fujitomi said.

U.S. initial jobless claims likely increased by 2,000 to 455,000 in the week ended Oct. 2, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists before the data is released today. The unemployment rate climbed to 9.7 percent in September from 9.6 percent in August, according to a separate survey.

As the stimulus-led recovery failed to create jobs, companies in the U.S. unexpectedly cut payroll by 39,000 in September, according to figures from ADP Employment. The median of a Bloomberg News survey of 37 economists projected an increase of 20,000 jobs.

The auctioned price of ribbed smoked sheets in Thailand grew 1.3 percent to 105.6 baht ($3.52), the Rubber Research Institute of Thailand said yesterday on its website.

The Shanghai market is closed for National Day holidays and will resume trade tomorrow. Natural-rubber inventories expanded 4,680 tons to 31,580 tons, based on a survey of 10 warehouses, the exchange said Sept. 30.

(bloomberg.com)

Rubber May Advance to Highest Since 2008 on 'Momentum': Technical Analysis

Rubber futures on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange may climb to the highest level since July 2008 because of “bullish momentum,” according to technical analysis from Singapore-based broker Phillip Futures Pte Ltd.

The moving average convergence/divergence indicator crossed above the shorter-dated signal line on Sept. 22, pointing to higher prices, said Ker Chung Yang, analyst at Phillip Futures.

The most-active contract, which increased 17 percent this year, may test resistance at 332 yen per kilogram ($4,006 per metric ton) next week, Ker said in e-mail yesterday. “It’s possible for TOCOM rubber to extend gains,” he said. The price reached 324.1 yen yesterday, the highest intraday level since April, and traded at 323.6 yen today.

Rubber, used to make tires and gloves, may be bolstered by strengthening crude oil prices and increasing demand for tires after U.S. auto sales in September rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 11.8 million, compared with 9.4 million a year earlier, according to a Phillip Futures’ note dated Oct. 4. Demand in China, the world’s biggest consumer, may outstrip supply in the short term because of economic growth, it said.

The MACD indicator is derived by subtracting a 26-day exponential moving average from a 12-day average. A second measure, called the signal line, uses a nine-day moving average of the MACD indicator. In technical analysis, investors and analysts study charts of trading patterns and prices to predict changes in a security, commodity, currency or index.

(bloomberg.com)

Ceylon raw rubber prices fluctuate on Jodia Bazar

KARACHI  (October 07, 2010) : The trading in Ceylon raw rubber moved both ways on Jodia Bazar here on Wednesday. The following variations were noted.

CEYLON RAW RUBBER (Per lb): Merryrub (Equivalent to RSS3) edged up by Rs 10 to Rs 160, RSSV closed higher by Rs 10 to Rs 160, Merryrub (Equivalent to Crape) went down by Rs 25 to Rs 175 and Pale Crape TPC3 moved lower by Rs 20 to Rs 180.

LATEX: Merrytex (28 kg) closed higher by Rs 125 to Rs 1,075, Semnan Tex moved upward by Rs 125 to Rs 1075 and Thai (GT) ended up by Rs 125 to Rs 1,075.

(brecorder.com)

Spot rubber recovers

On Wednesday (06 October 2010), the spot rubber prices recovered due to short coverings. Moderate gains on the National Multi Commodity Exchange and the predictions regarding continuous rains till the weekend have triggered short covering in major grades, and the prices moved up sharply even amidst low volumes. Sheet rubber increased to Rs 174 from Rs 172 per kg mainly on covering purchases.

The October futures for RSS 4 rose to Rs 178.80 (175.91), November to Rs 180.90 (177.85), December to Rs 183.75 (180.80) and January to Rs 187.18 (183.75) per kg on the National Multi Commodity Exchange.

Spot rates were (Rs/kg): RSS-4: 174 (172); RSS-5: 168 (167); ungraded: 164.50 (163); ISNR 20: 169 (168) and latex 60 per cent: 116 (116).

(indiainfoline.com)